{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "moduleId": "energy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-12T12:00:00Z",
  "evidenceState": {
    "claimId": "energy/claim/evidence-state",
    "lastSourceCheckAt": "2026-08-21",
    "maturity": {
      "level": "preliminary",
      "label": "TIDLIG",
      "rationale": "To kompatible globale observasjoner og versjonerte IEA-scenarioer; regional nettkø og AI-andel er ennå ikke normalisert."
    },
    "cadence": "monthly",
    "compatibleObservationCount": 2,
    "compatibleObservationLabel": "globale årsobservasjoner for alle datasentre",
    "trend": {
      "status": "limited",
      "label": "BEGRENSET",
      "rationale": "2024 og 2025 kan sammenlignes, men to punkter etablerer ikke en robust langsiktig trend. 2030-punktene er scenarioer."
    },
    "measurementGaps": [
      {
        "label": "regional nettkø og tilkobling",
        "claimId": "energy/claim/regional-grid-gap"
      },
      {
        "label": "AI-only strømbruk",
        "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025"
      }
    ]
  },
  "snapshot": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "moduleId": "energy",
    "title": "Energy & Grid Pressure",
    "eyebrow": "SKALERINGSINNSATS / ENERGI",
    "asOf": "2025-12-31",
    "retrievedAt": "2026-08-12",
    "generatedAt": "2026-08-12T12:00:00Z",
    "sourceIds": [
      "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
      "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
    ],
    "status": "sparse",
    "evidenceState": {
      "claimId": "energy/claim/evidence-state",
      "lastSourceCheckAt": "2026-08-21",
      "maturity": {
        "level": "preliminary",
        "label": "TIDLIG",
        "rationale": "To kompatible globale observasjoner og versjonerte IEA-scenarioer; regional nettkø og AI-andel er ennå ikke normalisert."
      },
      "cadence": "monthly",
      "compatibleObservationCount": 2,
      "compatibleObservationLabel": "globale årsobservasjoner for alle datasentre",
      "trend": {
        "status": "limited",
        "label": "BEGRENSET",
        "rationale": "2024 og 2025 kan sammenlignes, men to punkter etablerer ikke en robust langsiktig trend. 2030-punktene er scenarioer."
      },
      "measurementGaps": [
        {
          "label": "regional nettkø og tilkobling",
          "claimId": "energy/claim/regional-grid-gap"
        },
        {
          "label": "AI-only strømbruk",
          "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025"
        }
      ]
    },
    "decisionQuestion": "Vokser datasentrenes kraftbehov raskere enn energisystemet kan levere, og hvilke signaler skiller etterspørsel fra nettrisiko?",
    "summary": "485 TWh observert i 2025; nær dobling i IEAs sentralbane mot 2030",
    "valueStatement": "Se etterspørselsbanen, revisjonene og nettrisikoen som kan begrense compute-utbyggingen.",
    "valueClaimId": "energy/claim/demand-trajectory",
    "analysisRoute": "/tracker/energy/outlook",
    "measurements": [
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity",
        "label": "Global datasenter-elektrisitet",
        "value": "485 TWh",
        "detail": "IEAs oppdaterte observasjon for 2025; alle datasentre, ikke bare AI.",
        "classification": "observation",
        "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 485,
          "unit": "TWh/år"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case",
        "label": "IEA sentralbane 2030",
        "value": "ca. 950 TWh",
        "detail": "Oppdatert scenario, ikke observert last.",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2030-updated",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 950,
          "unit": "TWh/år",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2025-2030-growth",
        "label": "Skalering i sentralbanen",
        "value": "1,96×",
        "detail": "950 / 485; tilsvarer ca. 14,4 % årlig sammensatt vekst.",
        "classification": "interpretation",
        "claimId": "energy/claim/demand-trajectory",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 1.9588,
          "unit": "multiple"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/grid/planned-project-delay-risk",
        "label": "Planlagt kapasitet utsatt for nettforsinkelse",
        "value": "ca. 20 %",
        "detail": "IEA-analyse av prosjekter mot 2030; ikke et prosjektregister.",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "claimId": "energy/claim/grid-delay-risk",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 20,
          "unit": "%",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      }
    ],
    "limitations": [
      "Kildene måler alle datasentre; de isolerer ikke AI-trening eller AI-inferens.",
      "Globale TWh-tall skjuler lokale tilkoblingskøer, effektbehov og tidsprofil.",
      "2030-verdiene og forsinkelsesrisikoen er IEA-scenarioer og analyse, ikke observerte leveranser."
    ]
  },
  "facts": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "moduleId": "energy",
    "facts": [
      {
        "id": "energy/fact/iea/2024-data-centers",
        "observedAt": "2024-12-31",
        "classification": "observation",
        "label": "Global data-centre electricity use",
        "value": "415 TWh",
        "sourceId": "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
        "sourceLocator": "Executive summary: 2024 global consumption",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 415,
          "unit": "TWh/år"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers",
        "observedAt": "2025-12-31",
        "classification": "observation",
        "label": "Updated global data-centre electricity use",
        "value": "485 TWh",
        "sourceId": "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026",
        "sourceLocator": "Executive summary: updated 2025 consumption",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 485,
          "unit": "TWh/år"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/fact/iea/2030-base-case-2025-edition",
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "label": "2025 report Base Case for 2030",
        "value": "around 945 TWh",
        "sourceId": "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
        "sourceLocator": "Executive summary: 2030 Base Case",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 945,
          "unit": "TWh/år",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update",
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "label": "2026 update central projection for 2030",
        "value": "around 950 TWh",
        "sourceId": "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026",
        "sourceLocator": "Executive summary: updated 2030 projection",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 950,
          "unit": "TWh/år",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/fact/iea/grid-delay-risk",
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "label": "Planned capacity at risk of grid connection delay",
        "value": "around 20%",
        "sourceId": "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
        "sourceLocator": "AI and energy security: location-specific grid-risk analysis",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 20,
          "unit": "%",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "measurements": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "moduleId": "energy",
    "timelineKnowledgeAt": "2026-08-12",
    "timelineHistory": [
      {
        "id": "energy/timeline-revision/iea-2025-baseline",
        "knowledgeAt": "2026-08-10",
        "knowledgeUntil": "2026-08-12",
        "baseDate": "2024-12-31",
        "baseValue": 415,
        "observations": [
          {
            "date": "2024-12-31",
            "value": 415,
            "label": "415 TWh",
            "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
            "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2024"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "measurements": [
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2024-data-centers"
        ],
        "observedAt": "2024-12-31",
        "classification": "observation",
        "label": "Global datasenter-elektrisitet 2024",
        "value": "415 TWh",
        "detail": "Direkte IEA-estimat.",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 415,
          "unit": "TWh/år"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity",
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers"
        ],
        "observedAt": "2025-12-31",
        "classification": "observation",
        "label": "Global datasenter-elektrisitet 2025",
        "value": "485 TWh",
        "detail": "Oppdatert IEA-estimat.",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 485,
          "unit": "TWh/år"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2030-base-case",
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-base-case-2025-edition"
        ],
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "label": "IEA 2025-utgave: Base Case 2030",
        "value": "ca. 945 TWh",
        "detail": "Kildescenario.",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 945,
          "unit": "TWh/år",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case",
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
        ],
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "label": "IEA 2026-oppdatering: sentralbane 2030",
        "value": "ca. 950 TWh",
        "detail": "Oppdatert kildescenario.",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 950,
          "unit": "TWh/år",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/data-centers/2025-2030-growth",
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers",
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
        ],
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "interpretation",
        "label": "Skalering 2025–2030",
        "value": "1,96× / 14,4 % CAGR",
        "detail": "Reversibel beregning fra kanoniske TWh/år.",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 1.9588,
          "unit": "multiple"
        }
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/grid/planned-project-delay-risk",
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/grid-delay-risk"
        ],
        "observedAt": "2030-12-31",
        "classification": "forecast",
        "label": "Planlagt kapasitet utsatt for nettforsinkelse",
        "value": "ca. 20 %",
        "detail": "Kildeanalyse.",
        "canonical": {
          "value": 20,
          "unit": "%",
          "qualifier": "ca."
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "claims": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "moduleId": "energy",
    "generatedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z",
    "claims": [
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/global-demand-2024",
        "claimType": "observation",
        "statement": "IEA anslår globalt datasenterforbruk til 415 TWh i 2024.",
        "asOf": "2024-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2024-data-centers"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Ikke en AI-only måling."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025",
        "claimType": "observation",
        "statement": "IEAs oppdatering anslår globalt datasenterforbruk til 485 TWh i 2025.",
        "asOf": "2025-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Ikke en AI-only måling."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/observed-growth-2025",
        "claimType": "derivation",
        "statement": "Det globale IEA-estimatet økte med 16,9 % fra 2024 til 2025.",
        "asOf": "2025-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
          "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2024-data-centers",
          "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": {
          "formula": "(485 TWh / 415 TWh - 1) × 100 = 16.9%",
          "inputs": [
            "energy/fact/iea/2024-data-centers",
            "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers"
          ],
          "outputUnit": "%"
        },
        "limitations": [
          "Kryssutgave-sammenligning av IEA-estimater, ikke måleravlesning."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/global-demand-2030-updated",
        "claimType": "derivation",
        "statement": "IEAs oppdaterte sentralbane har om lag 950 TWh datasenterforbruk i 2030.",
        "asOf": "2030-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Scenario, ikke observasjon."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/demand-trajectory",
        "claimType": "derivation",
        "statement": "IEAs oppdaterte sentralbane er 1,96 ganger 2025-nivået i 2030, tilsvarende omtrent 14,4 % årlig sammensatt vekst.",
        "asOf": "2030-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity",
          "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case",
          "energy/data-centers/2025-2030-growth"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers",
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": {
          "formula": "950 / 485 = 1.9588; (950 / 485)^(1/5) - 1 = 14.4%",
          "inputs": [
            "energy/fact/iea/2025-data-centers",
            "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
          ],
          "outputUnit": "multiple and %/year"
        },
        "limitations": [
          "Mekanisk beskrivelse av IEA-scenarioet, ikke en uavhengig prognose."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/scenario-revision",
        "claimType": "derivation",
        "statement": "IEAs sentrale 2030-anslag flyttet seg fra omtrent 945 TWh i 2025-rapporten til omtrent 950 TWh i 2026-oppdateringen.",
        "asOf": "2030-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2030-base-case",
          "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-base-case-2025-edition",
          "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": {
          "formula": "950 - 945 = 5 TWh; approximate source values",
          "inputs": [
            "energy/fact/iea/2030-base-case-2025-edition",
            "energy/fact/iea/2030-central-2026-update"
          ],
          "outputUnit": "TWh/år"
        },
        "limitations": [
          "Begge kildetall er avrundet, og utgavene kan ha metodeendringer."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/grid-delay-risk",
        "claimType": "derivation",
        "statement": "IEA vurderer at omtrent en femtedel av planlagt global datasenterkapasitet kan forsinkes av nettrisiko mot 2030.",
        "asOf": "2030-12-31",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/grid/planned-project-delay-risk"
        ],
        "factIds": [
          "energy/fact/iea/grid-delay-risk"
        ],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Modellbasert risikovurdering; ikke prosjektregister."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/regional-grid-gap",
        "claimType": "limitation",
        "statement": "Modulen har ennå ikke en kildekompatibel regional serie for nettkø, tilgjengelig effekt eller tilkoblingsstatus.",
        "asOf": "2026-08-12",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [],
        "factIds": [],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Målegap betyr ikke at regionale data ikke finnes; de er ikke normalisert i modulen ennå."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-13T09:38:37.011Z"
      },
      {
        "id": "energy/claim/evidence-state",
        "claimType": "method",
        "statement": "Energy har to kompatible globale årsobservasjoner for samlet datasenter-elektrisitet, 2024 og 2025. De kan sammenlignes, men to punkter etablerer ikke en robust langsiktig trend, og 2030-punktene forblir kildescenarioer.",
        "asOf": "2026-08-21",
        "reviewState": "reviewed",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "measurementIds": [
          "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
          "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity"
        ],
        "factIds": [],
        "lineageSetIds": [],
        "methodologyPaths": [
          "data/tracker/energy/METHODOLOGY.md"
        ],
        "calculation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Serien gjelder all datasenter-elektrisitet og er ikke en AI-only serie.",
          "Regional nettkø er ennå ikke målt i samme kontrakt."
        ],
        "approvedAt": "2026-08-22T17:16:21.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "drilldowns": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "moduleId": "energy",
    "views": [
      {
        "schemaVersion": 1,
        "id": "outlook",
        "moduleId": "energy",
        "title": "Etterspørsel og nettrisiko",
        "shortTitle": "Energi",
        "description": "Skiller målte globale TWh, kildeversjonerte 2030-baner og risikoen for at nettet forsinker planlagt datasenterkapasitet.",
        "decisionQuestion": "Vokser datasentrenes kraftbehov raskere enn energisystemet kan levere?",
        "decisionUse": "Bruk visningen til å se både kraftbehovets tempo og om nettilgang kan bli den fysiske flaskehalsen.",
        "asOf": "2025-12-31",
        "sourceIds": [
          "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
          "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026"
        ],
        "headline": {
          "label": "Oppdatert global datasenterlast",
          "value": "485 TWh",
          "detail": "Den observerte 2025-verdien er startpunktet; 2030 er scenario.",
          "classification": "observation",
          "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025"
        },
        "visualization": {
          "id": "energy-global-demand-trend",
          "type": "energy-time-series",
          "eyebrow": "TREND / OBSERVASJON + KILDESCENARIO",
          "title": "Etterspørselen bøyer opp mot 2030",
          "description": "Historiske IEA-estimater vises som punkter. De to 2030-verdiene er kildeversjonerte scenarioer, ikke målinger eller Vardark-prognoser.",
          "measurementIds": [
            "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
            "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity",
            "energy/data-centers/2030-base-case",
            "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case",
            "energy/grid/planned-project-delay-risk"
          ],
          "claimIds": [
            "energy/claim/global-demand-2024",
            "energy/claim/global-demand-2025",
            "energy/claim/global-demand-2030-updated",
            "energy/claim/scenario-revision",
            "energy/claim/grid-delay-risk",
            "energy/claim/regional-grid-gap"
          ],
          "unit": "TWh/år, alle datasentre",
          "observations": [
            {
              "date": "2024-12-31",
              "value": 415,
              "label": "415 TWh",
              "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
              "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2024"
            },
            {
              "date": "2025-12-31",
              "value": 485,
              "label": "485 TWh",
              "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity",
              "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025"
            }
          ],
          "scenarios": [
            {
              "id": "iea-2025-edition",
              "label": "IEA 2025-utgave",
              "edition": "prior",
              "from": {
                "date": "2024-12-31",
                "value": 415,
                "label": "415 TWh",
                "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
                "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2024"
              },
              "to": {
                "date": "2030-12-31",
                "value": 945,
                "label": "945 TWh",
                "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2030-base-case",
                "claimId": "energy/claim/scenario-revision"
              }
            },
            {
              "id": "iea-2026-update",
              "label": "IEA 2026-oppdatering",
              "edition": "current",
              "from": {
                "date": "2025-12-31",
                "value": 485,
                "label": "485 TWh",
                "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity",
                "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2025"
              },
              "to": {
                "date": "2030-12-31",
                "value": 950,
                "label": "950 TWh",
                "measurementId": "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case",
                "claimId": "energy/claim/global-demand-2030-updated"
              }
            }
          ],
          "gridRisk": {
            "value": 20,
            "label": "av planlagt kapasitet kan forsinkes av nettrisiko",
            "detail": "Dette er en separat IEA-analyse av fysisk leveringsrisiko. Den trekkes ikke fra TWh-kurven.",
            "measurementId": "energy/grid/planned-project-delay-risk",
            "claimId": "energy/claim/grid-delay-risk"
          },
          "regionalGap": {
            "label": "Ingen kildekompatibel regional køserie",
            "detail": "Grid Constraint Map aktiveres først når region, effekt, køtid og tilkoblingsstatus kan spores uten å blande prosjekttyper.",
            "claimId": "energy/claim/regional-grid-gap"
          }
        },
        "sections": [
          {
            "id": "observed-growth",
            "label": "ETTERSPØRSEL",
            "question": "Hva har faktisk skjedd?",
            "conclusion": "IEAs globale estimat økte fra 415 TWh i 2024 til 485 TWh i 2025.",
            "status": "signal",
            "measurementIds": [
              "energy/data-centers/2024-electricity",
              "energy/data-centers/2025-electricity"
            ],
            "claimIds": [
              "energy/claim/global-demand-2024",
              "energy/claim/global-demand-2025",
              "energy/claim/observed-growth-2025"
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "central-path",
            "label": "BANE",
            "question": "Hvor stor er sentralbanen?",
            "conclusion": "Den oppdaterte IEA-banen er 950 TWh i 2030, 1,96× 2025-nivået.",
            "status": "signal",
            "measurementIds": [
              "energy/data-centers/2025-2030-growth",
              "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case"
            ],
            "claimIds": [
              "energy/claim/global-demand-2030-updated",
              "energy/claim/demand-trajectory"
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "scenario-revision",
            "label": "REVISJON",
            "question": "Flytter scenarioet seg?",
            "conclusion": "2030-sentralbanen er nesten uendret mellom IEA-utgavene: ca. 945 til 950 TWh.",
            "status": "signal",
            "measurementIds": [
              "energy/data-centers/2030-base-case",
              "energy/data-centers/2030-updated-case"
            ],
            "claimIds": [
              "energy/claim/scenario-revision"
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "grid-risk",
            "label": "LEVERING",
            "question": "Kan planlagt kapasitet kobles til?",
            "conclusion": "IEA anslår at nettrisiko kan forsinke rundt 20 % av planlagt global datasenterkapasitet mot 2030.",
            "status": "constraint",
            "measurementIds": [
              "energy/grid/planned-project-delay-risk"
            ],
            "claimIds": [
              "energy/claim/grid-delay-risk"
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "regional-gap",
            "label": "MÅLEGAP",
            "question": "Hvor oppstår køene?",
            "conclusion": "Modulen har ennå ikke et regionalt register for effekt, køtid eller tilkoblingsstatus.",
            "status": "gap",
            "measurementIds": [],
            "claimIds": [
              "energy/claim/regional-grid-gap"
            ]
          }
        ],
        "comparisons": [
          {
            "id": "energy-observed-change",
            "label": "OBSERVERT ÅRSENDRING",
            "from": "415 TWh",
            "to": "485 TWh",
            "change": "+16,9 %",
            "detail": "2024 til 2025; beregnet fra IEA-observasjonene.",
            "claimId": "energy/claim/observed-growth-2025"
          },
          {
            "id": "energy-outlook-change",
            "label": "SENTRALBANE",
            "from": "485 TWh",
            "to": "950 TWh",
            "change": "1,96×",
            "detail": "2025-observasjon til 2030-scenario; ca. 14,4 % CAGR.",
            "claimId": "energy/claim/demand-trajectory"
          }
        ],
        "limitations": [
          "Globale TWh sier lite om lokal effekt og køtid.",
          "IEA-tallene inkluderer ikke bare AI.",
          "Scenarioet er ikke et løfte om fysisk tilkoblet kapasitet."
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "iea-energy-and-ai-2025",
      "title": "Energy and AI",
      "publisher": "International Energy Agency",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai",
      "documentationUrl": "https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/energy-demand-from-ai",
      "license": "CC BY 4.0",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-08-10",
      "dataAsOf": "2024-12-31",
      "sha256": null,
      "localPath": null,
      "role": "context",
      "notes": "Used for energy context, not to derive the H100-equivalent compute series."
    },
    {
      "id": "iea-key-questions-energy-ai-2026",
      "title": "Key Questions on Energy and AI",
      "publisher": "International Energy Agency",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.iea.org/reports/key-questions-on-energy-and-ai/executive-summary",
      "documentationUrl": "https://www.iea.org/reports/key-questions-on-energy-and-ai/executive-summary",
      "license": "CC BY 4.0",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-08-12",
      "dataAsOf": "2025-12-31",
      "sha256": null,
      "localPath": null,
      "role": "primary-measurement",
      "notes": "Updated IEA observation for 2025 and central 2030 projection. Total data-centre electricity, not AI-only demand."
    }
  ]
}