Timeline

Agent Horizon shows two compatible reliability levels, P50 and P80, for the same public frontier cohort. They are concurrent choices of success requirement and do not constitute a time series; suite coverage and the 16-hour boundary limit generalisability.

Agent Horizon shows 4 compatible P50/P80 estimates across 2 public model cohorts under the same TH1.1 contract. They are concurrent model and reliability observations, not a time series; suite coverage and the 16-hour boundary limit generalisability.

RExBench reports that the best result, even with human-written hints, is below 40% on realistic research extensions.

RExBench v3 reports that the best result, even with human-written hints, is below 44% on realistic research extensions.